FHA home loans have been an icon for first time home buying since 1934. This government home financing initiative has been bolstering homeownership for decades with low FHA mortgage rates and fair lending criteria for all Americans. The Wall Street Journal reported that the Federal Housing Administration is in serious talks with HUD to raise the insurance premium in an effort to raise the dwindling FHA loan reserves. After FHA loan defaults have dropped for three straight months for FHA mortgage loans. If that trend holds, the agency could avoid burning through the FHA reserves, which are estimated to fall sharply over the coming years. Still, the FHA’s commissioner, David Stevens, says “there’s plenty of room for caution.” Clearly, FHA mortgage financing has not recovered enough to not be concerned about it’s future.
Are FHA Loan Programs at Risk?
As the economy continues to weaken, FHA will likely see more FHA defaults that could drain the FHA reserves even more. I would expect FHA loan requirements to continue the trend of tightening. This will limit the number of eligible borrowers to qualify for a FHA refinance that would lower their monthly mortgage payment and prevent home foreclosures for thousands of distressed homeowners.
Most industry insiders are forecasting additional losses because it has a much bigger exposure to housing today than it did when the housing market tanked three years ago. Even if the HUD continues to amend FHA loan guidelines to stem the FHA defaults, it is likely that the annual audit will uncover the fact that that the Federal Housing Administration continues to operate on low reserves. Let’s face it, if this great loan program was managed by the private sector the FHA loan program would be shut down. One bright spot is that the FHA’s finances are performing better than anticipated. In the last six months, FHA reserves have covered $6 billion that came from the loan defaults, but they had forecasted to pay $8.7 billion for loan defaults. Should we cheer because the FHA loan program is preforming better than anticipated or be critical of a federal loan program that is failing in a failing economy?
